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Formation of COVID-19 policy must cope with substantial uncertainties about the nature of the disease, the dynamics of transmission, and behavioral responses. Data uncertainties limit knowledge of the trajectory of the pandemic and the effectiveness of treatments. Data and modeling uncertainties limit our ability to predict the impacts of alternative policies. Professor Manski will cover work quantifying basic data uncertainties and explain why current epidemiological and macroeconomic modeling cannot deliver realistically optimal policy. He will also discuss approaches for policy choice that face up to uncertainty and specifically suggest adaptive policy diversification.  Possible applications of adaptive diversification include choice between suppression and mitigation strategies and choice of a process to allocate vaccines

 

To register for free, please click HERE

Forthcoming events

Infectious Disease Seminar Series: Antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 infection or vaccination in the UK general population

Monday, 16 January 2023, 1pm to 2pm @ BDI Seminar Room LG 0-1, Old Road Campus, Headington, OX3 7LF

Infectious Disease Seminar Series: Stimuli responsive systems for targeted delivery of antimicrobial therapy

Monday, 23 January 2023, 1pm to 2pm @ BDI Seminar Room LG 0, Old Road Campus, Headington, OX3 7LF

Infectious Disease Seminar Series: Identifying COVID-19 epidemiological risk factors in UK Biobank using Bayesian model averaging

Monday, 30 January 2023, 1pm to 2pm @ BDI Seminar Room LG 0-1, Old Road Campus, Headington, OX3 7LF

Infectious Disease Seminar Series: Hepatitis B diagnosis, prevention and treatment: laboratory approaches to the elimination agenda

Monday, 06 February 2023, 1pm to 2pm @ BDI Seminar Room LG 0-1, Old Road Campus, Headington, OX3 7LF

Infectious Disease Seminar Series: Informing on Neisseria gonorrhoeae treatment and management through pathogen genomics

Monday, 20 February 2023, 1pm to 2pm @ BDI Seminar Room LG 0-1, Old Road Campus, Headington, OX3 7LF