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Tens of thousands of species are threatened with extinction as a result of human activities. Here we explore how the extinction risks of terrestrial mammals and birds might change in the next 50 years. Future population growth and economic development are forecasted to impose unprecedented levels of extinction risk on many more species worldwide, especially the large mammals of tropical Africa, Asia and South America. Yet these threats are not inevitable. Proactive international efforts to increase crop yields, minimize land clearing and habitat fragmentation, and protect natural lands could increase food security in developing nations and preserve much of Earth's remaining biodiversity.

Original publication

DOI

10.1038/nature22900

Type

Journal article

Journal

Nature

Publication Date

05/2017

Volume

546

Pages

73 - 81

Addresses

Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, California 93106, USA.

Keywords

Animals, Humans, Risk Assessment, Conservation of Natural Resources, Biodiversity, Human Activities, Extinction, Biological, Geographic Mapping